Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009542 0.011372 0.013609 0.016598 0.020568 0.025786 0.033387
2025-05-11 0.007178 0.009266 0.012136 0.016541 0.023480 0.034700 0.056050
2025-05-18 0.005822 0.007884 0.010933 0.016059 0.025166 0.042452 0.084054
2025-05-25 0.004856 0.006790 0.009794 0.015183 0.025657 0.048266 0.115432
2025-06-01 0.004206 0.006034 0.008988 0.014581 0.026334 0.054895 0.160186
2025-06-08 0.003862 0.005690 0.008770 0.014955 0.029153 0.068961 0.266136
2025-06-15 0.003505 0.005267 0.008331 0.014765 0.030612 0.080788 0.412899
2025-06-22 0.003129 0.004760 0.007656 0.013918 0.030090 0.085899 0.552425
2025-06-29 0.002924 0.004525 0.007446 0.014026 0.032212 0.103652 1.003752
2025-07-06 0.002793 0.004403 0.007429 0.014565 0.035898 0.134346 2.524133
2025-07-13 0.002726 0.004385 0.007614 0.015641 0.042022 0.192645 14.431025
2025-07-20 0.002616 0.004276 0.007591 0.016189 0.046752 0.258752 396.452474
2025-07-27 0.002446 0.004050 0.007328 0.016141 0.049744 0.331735 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002291 0.003842 0.007079 0.016095 0.052990 0.435630 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002129 0.003601 0.006720 0.015630 0.054047 0.526786 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001961 0.003335 0.006271 0.014786 0.052681 0.573804 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001827 0.003125 0.005930 0.014206 0.052451 0.657558 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001760 0.003046 0.005884 0.014567 0.058022 1.015239 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001670 0.002912 0.005688 0.014383 0.060243 1.356743 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001556 0.002720 0.005331 0.013566 0.057700 1.412544 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001497 0.002639 0.005241 0.013671 0.061829 2.184480 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001461 0.002604 0.005262 0.014191 0.069916 4.649501 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001447 0.002616 0.005406 0.015228 0.084460 20.487400 NaN